Uncategorized

Scandimania – EOH 9/15

Sweden is having its moment in the sun now that Europe is seeing a second outbreak of cases, social stability in strict lockdown countries is fraying, and the severe economic damage is beginning to be seen. Through an approach that granted autonomy and information for the average Swede to make their own decisions, Sweden’s  economic […]

COVID-19

New podcast from Kyle Lamb: PCR is amplifying the fear

New podcast from Kyle Lamb: PCR testing is amplifying the fear

COVID-19

Why mass PCR testing of the healthy and asymptomatic is currently counter-productive

The point of testing should be to identify infectious individuals, and the current testing procedures fail in that public health goal.

COVID-19

CDC study on COVID-19 transmission in child care shows what we already know: children can spread it to family members

A CDC study on COVID-19 transmission in child care centers only shows that children can infect people in their own households.

Uncategorized

COVID Karens – EOH 9/10

COVID lockdown zealots  are having their second moment in the sun. In the UK, Boris Johnson wants to introduce “COVID marshals” to track people’s whereabouts and report violations in social distancing. In the United States, rushed reporting on the Sturgis Motorcycle Rally led to large amounts of finger-wagging and moralizing. Even worse, some states are […]

COVID-19

Mistake or manipulation?

Len Cabrera describes Dr. Fauci’s incorrect testimony about COVID’s fatality rate and the resulting public fear that led to lockdowns.

Uncategorized

Failing the Grade – EOH 9/8

It is concerning that after several weeks, universities have not updated their priors. It seems every day another university goes into lockdown because they did not predict that college students would…act like college students. Even worse, some schools like Northeastern have been adopting CCP style COVID-19 policies, such as expelling offenders and just keeping their […]

COVID-19

Behind the mask… and the shower curtain: COVID-19 and the plight of children

Dr. John Littell writes that COVID-19 has become, with no reason, the modern equivalent of leprosy.

Uncategorized

Stay-at-Home Orders Don’t Work. They May Have Made Things Worse

As the COVID-19 pandemic starts to wane from its horrible entrance onto the international scene the data is now coming in to test the viability of NPI (non-pharmaceutical interventions). The CDC has published and updated a specific database tracking the “stay-at-home” orders across the country down to the county level.

COVID-19

A response to the viral “6%” post about COVID deaths

While it is correct that only 6% of COVID deaths show COVID as the only cause of death, that’s not the full picture.

Uncategorized

Operation Warpspeed Sees Promise – EOH 9/4

Operation warp speed continues to be a bright spot in how America fights COVID-19. A recent pleasant surprise is that Dr. Fauci said current vaccine trials are going well and potentially a vaccine could be delivered later this year but still cautious about an early release from trials.. From 18 months to 12 months to […]

Uncategorized

Doing the Work – EOH 9/1

Every time you think the expert class knows what they are doing, you are soon quickly corrected. The return to school will cause a spike in deaths? Nope.As we have known since March,children are far less likely to die or have a severe outcomes of COVID-19 . Lockdowns saved lives? Peru enacted the strictest lockdown […]

Newsletter

The Ride Never Ends – EOH 8/28

Just when you thought the lockdowns were almost over, the consequences from the global lockdowns are just beginning to be felt. Turns out lockdowns discriminate against the young (the lowest risk of a severe COVID outcome) and lead to an increase in anxiety, depression, and thoughts of suicide, especially for those 25 and younger.

COVID-19

Dr. Scott Atlas joins DeSantis for press conference.

Dr. Scott Atlas joined Florida Governor Ron DeSantis for a press conference today, emphasizing that the U.S. is “the only nation among our peer nations that are hysterical about opening schools.”

Newsletter

And We Moved It Online! – EOH 08/21

From violating a student’s privacy to threatening to take people’s children away if they forgot to login to Zoom to go to class, educational authorities have been handling the second round of online schooling ineffectively.

Newsletter

Truth and Unintended Consequences – EOH 8/26

Across the world, officials for the first time might actually be grasping the unintended consequences of the COVID-19 lockdowns.

COVID-19

New CDC guidelines are aligned with science

The new guidance from the CDC reflects our growing understanding of the unreliability of asymptomatic testing

COVID-19

COVID-19 fatality rate continues to drop in Florida

Even with the deaths through August 25 added to the data, the death rate for people who tested positive for COVID in June or July was much lower than it was in April.

Data

Interactive Tool: Masks & COVID-19

Big thanks to @BenMarten for his excellent collection and comparison of masks and cases data. We took his data and embedded it here in two sheets. Feel free to play around with the filters on the right and let us know what information you find. The data takes county-level cases and deaths (per 100K population […]

COVID-19

Using the bubble isolate concept to reopen schools without universal masking

Megan Mansell offers a proposal for isolating those who are worried about COVID infection at school while allowing the rest to resume normal activities.

COVID-19

Death certificates raise questions about the role of COVID-19 in deaths

A review of Florida District 8 Medical Examiner reports for COVID-19 deaths in Alachua County, FL suggests “dying with” still gets counted in the COVID-19 deaths.

COVID-19

“COVID-Like” Illnesses Tells Us a LOT about COVID

Kyle Lamb discusses the impact of dying OF COVID-19 vs. dying WITH COVID-19 and the craziness which ensues among healthcare providers identifying cases with “COVID-like” illnesses.

Uncategorized

Lockdowns, European Edition – EOH 8/18

Despite several EU countries with higher levels of cases and fatalities, experts claimed that European strict lockdown measures were able to prevent a new wave or spike in COVID cases. However in New Zealand, who lockdown experts also obsessed over as their primary example of success, a second spike in cases shows the unsustainability of […]

Fatality Rate

COVID-19 Florida Fatality Rate STILL Dropping

There has been a great deal of concern about rising numbers of COVID-19 cases in Florida, but the real question is whether these cases translate into correspondingly large numbers of deaths; as we’ll show below, this is unlikely because people who get sick now are far less likely to suffer adverse consequences than they were in April or May.

Testing

Completely and Utterly Unusable: Texas Testing Rates

What a week! After our team broke this story regarding anomalies with testing numbers coming out of the Texas DSHS on Sunday 8/9, with additional tweet series every day through Wednesday, the story began to gain traction with major news outlets. A quick recap:

Florida

Putting Florida COVID-19 Deaths in Context

We get strong objections from people who say any reassuring information could cause people to let their guard down. They say that older people are at great risk because that graph says 1 in 5 cases (20%) of people over 85 will die. That ignores the original argument: young, healthy people are not in danger. (

California

“Who” Gets the Virus is More Important Than “How Many”

We’ve noted on several occasions that the most important question/answer you can seek in your quest to understanding the impact of COVID-19 is “Knock, knock, who’s there?”

Rational Ground

Welcome to Rational Ground

Welcome to RationalGround.com. If you are interested in learning more be sure to join our newsletter for the latest news, charts, memes, and studies around COVID-19, the shutdowns and the impact on society.

We represent a strong and varied force of experts, data analysts, demographers, and lay citizens determined to quell the irrational forces impacting our lives from the COVID-19 pandemic.

Newsletter

Fear & Loathing in the Land Down Under – EOH 8/13

The trouble with a lockdown after the fact is that it’s an inherently top down measure, without a meaningful way to measure success, and ignores the negative secondary impacts that cost lives. While one may try, you can’t see everything, and eventually, something slips through the cracks.

Fatality Rate

COVID-19 fatality rate is still dropping rapidly in Florida

Even with the deaths through August 10 added to the data, the death rate for people who tested positive for COVID in June or early July was much lower than it was in April.

Florida

Expert: COVID-19 decisions based on potentially misleading statistic

Dr. Rebel Cole, a data scientist and professor of finance at FAU, says random sampling is the best way to track the virus.

California

How Latinos May Have Saved Southern California

It very well may be that Latinos and their unbreakable affinity for family and fun and gatherings… may be the single best thing to place a “brake” on #COVID19 in SoCal.

Newsletter

Lockdown Meltdown – EOH 08/11

As we get closer to the end of the summer, the calls for a new lockdown have come in full force with new voices such as Minneapolis Fed leader Neel Kashkari advocating for a 2nd lockdown in the United States. The calls for a new lockdown are contrasted in the end Sweden ended up okay without a […]

Newsletter

Not so Hot Hotspots – EOH 08/08

Despite fears earlier in the summer that states like Georgia, Texas, Florida or Arizona, the new “hotspots” would end up becoming New York like in deaths, this fear has not  turned out to be the case. In practice, all these states despite being called “hotspots” still had lower cases & low deaths per 100,000 people […]

Data

COVID-19 State Compare Tool

Politics

Evidence over hysteria – COVID 8/05

As COVID-19 continues, the issue of government overreach, this time about schooling appears again. From debates regarding a new lockdown to wherever schools should be in-person or online. However, one issue is clear, that as seen with Sweden, solutions that cause less government overreach have proven less destabilizing and demoralizing than what has been enacted […]

Economics

Evidence over hysteria – COVID 7/30

COVID News U.S. Coronavirus Cases Rise at Slowest Pace in Weeks “U.S. coronavirus cases rose by 55,000, the slowest daily pace since July 7, as some states continued to struggle with a rising number of infections and rapidly increasing death tolls.” ‘Shut it down, start over, do it right:’ Health experts sign open letter […]

World

Evidence over hysteria – COVID 7/28

Reopening/ Lockdown Updates Can Restaurants Survive Shutting Down Again? “Closing dining rooms once cost a lot of money, but closing twice could be even worse.” Reopening Schools Is Way Harder Than It Should Be “Of all the American institutions the pandemic has shut down, none face pressure to reopen quite like schools do.Pediatricians exhort schools […]

Politics

Evidence over hysteria – COVID 7/23

Reopening/ Lockdown Updates Back to School? “No Thanks” Say Millions of New Homeschooling Parents “After several months of learning at home with their children, parents may not be so willing to comply with district directives and may prefer other, more individualized education options… pushed into homeschooling this spring by the pandemic.” The risks of […]

Economics

Evidence over hysteria – COVID 7/17

Reopening and Lockdown Updates Betsy DeVos: Schools that don’t reopen shouldn’t get federal funds “Education Secretary Betsy DeVos told “Fox News Sunday” that public schools that don’t reopen in the fall should not get federal funds, and that the money should be redirected to families who can use it to find another option for […]

Politics

Evidence over hysteria – COVID 7/14

Reopening and Lockdown Updates Analysis: Trump makes school reopening a referendum on Trump The CDC says people are taking their school guidance way too literally.  “Nothing would cause me greater sadness than to see any school district or school use our guidance as a reason not to reopen.” – CDC Director Robert Redfield. Georgia […]

World

Evidence over hysteria – COVID 7/8

Latest on the COVID-19 pandemic Everything You Need To Know About Phase 3 Of Reopening NYC You may have questions about what will reopen in Phase 3, well it will be “Dog runs, Tattoo parlors, Spas, including massage parlors, Personal care salons (hair salons reopened in Phase 2, but Phase 3 will see the […]