Newsletter

Thanksgiving Will Go On – EOH 11/20/20

Though it has no official authority to cancel Thanksgiving, the CDC is urging Americans not to travel home for Thanksgiving this year, in the name of the public health and safety of course. As politicians and other bureaucrats issue new rules, it’s likely many Americans will celebrate the holidays with or without their approval. In […]

Newsletter

Another Ray of Light Emerges – EOH 11/18/20

Another ray of light has emerged on the horizon: Moderna says its coronavirus vaccine is 94.5% effective. More details are coming soon.  In other news: In a high-profile speech before the Federalist Society, Supreme Court Justice Sam Alito expressed his concerns that the coronavirus pandemic “has resulted in previously unimaginable restrictions on individual liberty.” Rules […]

Newsletter

It’s About the Children! – EOH 11/13/20

President-elect Joe Biden is already busy putting together members for his new COVID taskforce and it looks like he doesn’t seem receptive to freedom or lessons from the past. Dr. Michael Osterholm, one of his coronavirus advisors, has called another 4-6 week national lockdown. Dr. Osterholm wants an even more draconian second lockdown than the […]

COVID-19

The Human Studies Cited by the CDC’s Recent Scientific Brief do not Support Community Masking

Karl Dierenbach takes a look at the studies the CDC uses to support community-level mask effectiveness.

COVID-19

CDC’s sloppy “Scientific Brief” adds nothing to the evidence for masks

Megan Mansell breaks down the CDC Scientific Brief on “Community Use of Cloth Masks to Control the Spread of SARS-CoV-2”

Newsletter

A Ray of Light Emerges – EOH 11/11/20

A ray of light has emerged on the horizon: a coronavirus vaccine developed by Pfizer Inc. and BioNTech SE showed in an early analysis to be more than 90% effective in protecting people from COVID-19. We are waiting on further details to be released soon. In other news: On public policy, Jayanta Bhattacharya of Stanford, […]

COVID-19

Florida death certificate review raises questions about official number of COVID-19 deaths

We had the opportunity to review death certificates for some of Florida’s recent COVID-19 deaths, and we can tell you definitively that Florida is counting deaths that were not directly caused by COVID-19.

Newsletter

Viva La Resistance – EOH 11/5/20

The 2020 U.S. presidential election is over… but as of this writing, a winner has not been called. With everything focused on the election, we’ve enjoyed a short panic break from COVID19.  The courts continue to rule against governors who abuse their powers in the name of public health. New research continue to discover the […]

COVID-19

Unhysterical COVID-19 Assessment in Rhode Island Requires More Transparency–And Honesty

Dr. Andrew Bostom calls for more data transparency in Rhode Island as the governor asks citizens to stay home for Thanksgiving.

Newsletter

And Falling Behind – EOH 10/30

Happy Halloween… remember as the holiday season arrives, nothing can escape the reach of Rona. It is the instrument to ruin the rest of 2020 and the season that brings us together. Our leaders have assured us if we disobey expect more trouble on the horizon. Lockdown advocates have found their next disobedient target that […]

Newsletter

Behind the Curve – EOH 10/28

Happy Halloween… remember social distancing applies to skeletons. We are all in this together! Remarkably, skeptics continue to be vindicated by the evidence on the ground while the MSM acts surprised and claims ignorance. From the Texas Tribune to the New York Times, mainstream media publications are finally “discovering” that allowing children to go to […]

COVID-19

Visualizing PCR amplification

Len Cabrera provides several ways to picture just how much genetic material is created by a PCR test using 40 cycles

COVID-19

A Rational Reopening Guide

Megan Mansell offers a framework for operating any facility or business during COVID.

COVID-19

And Its Consequences – EOH 10/23

The “new normal” performs quite terribly in public polling. People don’t enjoy wearing masks, prefer to hug friends and family outside their household, and like those pesky things called civil liberties. In almost every continent, anti-lockdown protests have occurred in response to government overreach and COVID lockdowns. The resistance continues to grow. Even pro-lockdown institutions […]

Newsletter

The New Unnormal – EOH 10/21

We are told that we are going to have to accept a “new normal” but what if that “new normal”, is just a slogan for completely restructuring society? Across the world, the “new normal” appears just to be a new blend of  authoritarianism and limiting civil liberties. In the UK, the government plans to give […]

Schools

Replay! A Rational Ground Webinar: Take Back Your School from COVID

Recently, Rational Ground was invited to speak to a group of activists in the state of Arizona. These concerned parents, teachers and policy makers spent 90 minutes with our team getting the latest info on COVID-19 and learn the latest tactics and strategies on how to get schools back and open. The Powerpoint presented at […]

COVID-19

Bullying From the Ivory Tower

Colleges are endangering the mental health of students with pandemic restrictions and then bullying them and calling them names when they break the rules.

COVID-19

More mask charts

More mask charts that show the (lack of) correlation between mask mandates and cases or hospitalizations

COVID-19

New podcast from Kyle Lamb: Censoring… the flu

Kyle Lamb discusses the censorship of Scott Atlas, masks, and the disappearance of the flu compared to last year.

COVID-19

COVID-19 Death Distortion In Florida: Over 40% of State’s “COVID-19 Deaths” May Not Merit That Classification

Dr. Andrew Bostom examines the CDC’s guidelines for reporting COVID-19 deaths and how that has affected the Florida death reporting.

COVID-19

Florida House COVID Deaths Report

Newsletter

Lockdowns return to some parts of Europe and the UK – EOH 10/16

After months of the data showing lockdowns have enormous consequences with little gain, politicians continue to push a failed policy with unimaginable social and economic costs. In the UK despite rising cases (with a rise in testing), deaths have remained flat with only a mild increase in hospitalizations, yet strict lockdown measures have been enacted. […]

Newsletter

Flip Flop – EOH 10/14

It is remarkable how supposedly trustworthy, scientific organizations have flipped on key issues after being proved consistently wrong on said issues from Twitter to scientific journals. For example, The World Health Organization (“WHO”) finally realized that lockdowns were not effective as a primary method of stopping COVID-19 and  lockdowns’ severe economic impact (estimated to be almost […]

COVID-19

A Dying Shame

Megan Mansell writes that conversations about death with dignity and representation are long overdue.

COVID-19

There is nothing new under the sun

Alex Rodriguez contrasts the public health responses between the 1918 and 2020 pandemics.

Newsletter

Backsliding – EOH 10/9

After several months of hope that New Yorkers  were starting to leave lockdowns, New York’s leaders decided medieval lockdowns by neighborhood made good sense, specifically targeting Orthodox Jewish communities. New Yorkers rebelled and resisted the new street-by-street lockdowns.  New York is not alone in its lockdown fetish, Israel is under an even more extreme lockdown, […]

Data

Economic Lockdown – EOH 10/7

If COVID hysteria only meant people were stuck inside for a few weeks, perhaps it would be more understandable. Instead, across the world, it has led to economic and social catastrophe. Years of economic growth and rising social standards in countries like India have been destroyed in a few short months. We have rolled extreme […]

COVID-19

COVID-19 on campus: October update

Update as of October 5 on COVID-19 cases, hospitalizations, and deaths at 50 American universities since August

COVID-19

Mask charts

Have you been looking for charts that show the (lack of) correlation between mask mandates and cases or hospitalizations? Your wish is our command!

Data

Interactive Tool: Masks & COVID-19

Big thanks to @BenMarten for his excellent collection and comparison of masks and cases data. We took his data and embedded it here in several sheets. Feel free to play around with the filters on the right and let us know what information you find. The data takes county-level cases and deaths (per 100K population […]

COVID-19

What is President Trump’s risk of dying from COVID?

Based on Florida’s case line and long-term care data, we estimate President Trump’s chances of surviving COVID.

Newsletter

COVID Calling – EOH 10/2

An update from the UK: The COVID hysteria unfortunately is not only an American issue, as COVID Karenism has become a major issue in the United Kingdom. Despite the decline in COVID-19 deaths in the UK to near zero and excess deaths less than the past five years, both conservative and liberal political leadership across […]

COVID-19

Educating Dr. Fauci On Herd Immunity And COVID-19: Completing What Rand Paul Began

Dr. Andrew Bostom explains herd immunity concepts that Dr. Fauci might find illuminating.

Newsletter

Not Forgotten – EOH 9/30

COVID hysterics want to hide the consequences of their policy, but the truth eventually comes out. You can only hide from reality for so long. A part of living in hysteria is ignoring consequences and blindly marching forward. Take the tragic example of restaurants in Nashville. Restaurants were ordered by fiat to reduce occupancy, yet […]

COVID-19

Governor DeSantis’ roundtable experts advocate for “normal” life for young people

Florida Governor Ron DeSantis held a roundtable on September 24 with professors from Harvard and Stanford. The conversation covered an impressive amount of ground in important COVID topics, and we produced a lightly-edited transcript to make it more accessible.

COVID-19

Deaths, Data and COVID-19: A Deadly Dose of Daily Confusion

The news reports continue to blast scandalous headlines about the number of deaths per day here in the United States from COVID-19. Our new interactive tool gives you a very different and more accurate view.

COVID-19

The end of COVID hysteria in Florida?

The roundtable was a foundational event that provided Governor DeSantis the scientific justification for opening up Florida.

Newsletter

Getting Schooled – EOH 9/25

Hysteria, whether about COVID or another political issue, requires society to either ignore or twist the evidence on the ground and detach from reality. For COVID, public health experts or the media would rather promote hysterical viewpoints and the worst-case scenario than acknowledge complexity or differing viewpoints. “COVID sins” has now merged with cancel culture […]

COVID-19

New podcast from Kyle Lamb: Standing Up and Standing Ground

How excess is literally only half the story. Debunking the debunkers about the flu. And Attorney Thomas Renz is leading the charge for OhioStandsUp.org. Why the federal lawsuit can be a win for the entire country and what it can do for you.

Newsletter

COVID on a Plane – EOH 9/22

In this cultural moment, COVID-19 encourages the media and Twitter blue checks to shoot first and ask questions later. Experts would rather cast judgement, moralize, and get clicks than wait for the evidence to come in. It is easier but far more damaging. It’s very difficult to update priors based on bad evidence when it […]

COVID-19

September 21 update: COVID-19 fatality rate continues to drop in Florida

The overall average COVID-19 death rate for Florida residents dropped by 78% from April to August.

COVID-19

Covid Sins – EOH 9/17

COVID-19 isn’t just a disease but also a moral code with sins and righteous deeds. One of the most prolific righteous deeds for the COVID faith is committing to a public policy, moralizing the policy, shaming those that disagree, and never providing data or evidence for justification. Nashville closed bars and restaurants yet knew that […]

COVID-19

Scandimania – EOH 9/15

Sweden is having its moment in the sun now that Europe is seeing a second outbreak of cases, social stability in strict lockdown countries is fraying, and the severe economic damage is beginning to be seen. Through an approach that granted autonomy and information for the average Swede to make their own decisions, Sweden’s  economic […]

COVID-19

New podcast from Kyle Lamb: PCR is amplifying the fear

New podcast from Kyle Lamb: PCR testing is amplifying the fear

COVID-19

Why mass PCR testing of the healthy and asymptomatic is currently counter-productive

The point of testing should be to identify infectious individuals, and the current testing procedures fail in that public health goal.

COVID-19

CDC study on COVID-19 transmission in child care shows what we already know: children can spread it to family members

A CDC study on COVID-19 transmission in child care centers only shows that children can infect people in their own households.

Newsletter

COVID Karens – EOH 9/10

COVID lockdown zealots  are having their second moment in the sun. In the UK, Boris Johnson wants to introduce “COVID marshals” to track people’s whereabouts and report violations in social distancing. In the United States, rushed reporting on the Sturgis Motorcycle Rally led to large amounts of finger-wagging and moralizing. Even worse, some states are […]

COVID-19

Mistake or manipulation?

Len Cabrera describes Dr. Fauci’s incorrect testimony about COVID’s fatality rate and the resulting public fear that led to lockdowns.

Newsletter

Failing the Grade – EOH 9/8

It is concerning that after several weeks, universities have not updated their priors. It seems every day another university goes into lockdown because they did not predict that college students would…act like college students. Even worse, some schools like Northeastern have been adopting CCP style COVID-19 policies, such as expelling offenders and just keeping their […]

COVID-19

Behind the mask… and the shower curtain: COVID-19 and the plight of children

Dr. John Littell writes that COVID-19 has become, with no reason, the modern equivalent of leprosy.

Data

Stay-at-Home Orders Don’t Work. They May Have Made Things Worse

As the COVID-19 pandemic starts to wane from its horrible entrance onto the international scene the data is now coming in to test the viability of NPI (non-pharmaceutical interventions). The CDC has published and updated a specific database tracking the “stay-at-home” orders across the country down to the county level.

COVID-19

A response to the viral “6%” post about COVID deaths

While it is correct that only 6% of COVID deaths show COVID as the only cause of death, that’s not the full picture.

Newsletter

Operation Warpspeed Sees Promise – EOH 9/4

Operation warp speed continues to be a bright spot in how America fights COVID-19. A recent pleasant surprise is that Dr. Fauci said current vaccine trials are going well and potentially a vaccine could be delivered later this year but still cautious about an early release from trials.. From 18 months to 12 months to […]

Newsletter

Doing the Work – EOH 9/1

Every time you think the expert class knows what they are doing, you are soon quickly corrected. The return to school will cause a spike in deaths? Nope.As we have known since March,children are far less likely to die or have a severe outcomes of COVID-19 . Lockdowns saved lives? Peru enacted the strictest lockdown […]

Newsletter

The Ride Never Ends – EOH 8/28

Just when you thought the lockdowns were almost over, the consequences from the global lockdowns are just beginning to be felt. Turns out lockdowns discriminate against the young (the lowest risk of a severe COVID outcome) and lead to an increase in anxiety, depression, and thoughts of suicide, especially for those 25 and younger.

COVID-19

Dr. Scott Atlas joins DeSantis for press conference.

Dr. Scott Atlas joined Florida Governor Ron DeSantis for a press conference today, emphasizing that the U.S. is “the only nation among our peer nations that are hysterical about opening schools.”

Newsletter

And We Moved It Online! – EOH 08/21

From violating a student’s privacy to threatening to take people’s children away if they forgot to login to Zoom to go to class, educational authorities have been handling the second round of online schooling ineffectively.

Newsletter

Truth and Unintended Consequences – EOH 8/26

Across the world, officials for the first time might actually be grasping the unintended consequences of the COVID-19 lockdowns.

COVID-19

New CDC guidelines are aligned with science

The new guidance from the CDC reflects our growing understanding of the unreliability of asymptomatic testing

COVID-19

COVID-19 fatality rate continues to drop in Florida

Even with the deaths through August 25 added to the data, the death rate for people who tested positive for COVID in June or July was much lower than it was in April.

COVID-19

Using the bubble isolate concept to reopen schools without universal masking

Megan Mansell offers a proposal for isolating those who are worried about COVID infection at school while allowing the rest to resume normal activities.

COVID-19

Death certificates raise questions about the role of COVID-19 in deaths

A review of Florida District 8 Medical Examiner reports for COVID-19 deaths in Alachua County, FL suggests “dying with” still gets counted in the COVID-19 deaths.

COVID-19

“COVID-Like” Illnesses Tells Us a LOT about COVID

Kyle Lamb discusses the impact of dying OF COVID-19 vs. dying WITH COVID-19 and the craziness which ensues among healthcare providers identifying cases with “COVID-like” illnesses.

Newsletter

Lockdowns, European Edition – EOH 8/18

Despite several EU countries with higher levels of cases and fatalities, experts claimed that European strict lockdown measures were able to prevent a new wave or spike in COVID cases. However in New Zealand, who lockdown experts also obsessed over as their primary example of success, a second spike in cases shows the unsustainability of […]

Fatality Rate

COVID-19 Florida Fatality Rate STILL Dropping

There has been a great deal of concern about rising numbers of COVID-19 cases in Florida, but the real question is whether these cases translate into correspondingly large numbers of deaths; as we’ll show below, this is unlikely because people who get sick now are far less likely to suffer adverse consequences than they were in April or May.

Testing

Completely and Utterly Unusable: Texas Testing Rates

What a week! After our team broke this story regarding anomalies with testing numbers coming out of the Texas DSHS on Sunday 8/9, with additional tweet series every day through Wednesday, the story began to gain traction with major news outlets. A quick recap:

Florida

Putting Florida COVID-19 Deaths in Context

We get strong objections from people who say any reassuring information could cause people to let their guard down. They say that older people are at great risk because that graph says 1 in 5 cases (20%) of people over 85 will die. That ignores the original argument: young, healthy people are not in danger. (

California

“Who” Gets the Virus is More Important Than “How Many”

We’ve noted on several occasions that the most important question/answer you can seek in your quest to understanding the impact of COVID-19 is “Knock, knock, who’s there?”

Rational Ground

Welcome to Rational Ground

Welcome to RationalGround.com. If you are interested in learning more be sure to join our newsletter for the latest news, charts, memes, and studies around COVID-19, the shutdowns and the impact on society.

We represent a strong and varied force of experts, data analysts, demographers, and lay citizens determined to quell the irrational forces impacting our lives from the COVID-19 pandemic.

Newsletter

Fear & Loathing in the Land Down Under – EOH 8/13

The trouble with a lockdown after the fact is that it’s an inherently top down measure, without a meaningful way to measure success, and ignores the negative secondary impacts that cost lives. While one may try, you can’t see everything, and eventually, something slips through the cracks.

Fatality Rate

COVID-19 fatality rate is still dropping rapidly in Florida

Even with the deaths through August 10 added to the data, the death rate for people who tested positive for COVID in June or early July was much lower than it was in April.

Florida

Expert: COVID-19 decisions based on potentially misleading statistic

Dr. Rebel Cole, a data scientist and professor of finance at FAU, says random sampling is the best way to track the virus.

California

How Latinos May Have Saved Southern California

It very well may be that Latinos and their unbreakable affinity for family and fun and gatherings… may be the single best thing to place a “brake” on #COVID19 in SoCal.

Newsletter

Lockdown Meltdown – EOH 08/11

As we get closer to the end of the summer, the calls for a new lockdown have come in full force with new voices such as Minneapolis Fed leader Neel Kashkari advocating for a 2nd lockdown in the United States. The calls for a new lockdown are contrasted in the end Sweden ended up okay without a […]

Newsletter

Not so Hot Hotspots – EOH 08/08

Despite fears earlier in the summer that states like Georgia, Texas, Florida or Arizona, the new “hotspots” would end up becoming New York like in deaths, this fear has not  turned out to be the case. In practice, all these states despite being called “hotspots” still had lower cases & low deaths per 100,000 people […]

Data

COVID-19 State Compare Tool

Politics

Evidence over hysteria – COVID 8/05

As COVID-19 continues, the issue of government overreach, this time about schooling appears again. From debates regarding a new lockdown to wherever schools should be in-person or online. However, one issue is clear, that as seen with Sweden, solutions that cause less government overreach have proven less destabilizing and demoralizing than what has been enacted […]

Economics

Evidence over hysteria – COVID 7/30

COVID News U.S. Coronavirus Cases Rise at Slowest Pace in Weeks “U.S. coronavirus cases rose by 55,000, the slowest daily pace since July 7, as some states continued to struggle with a rising number of infections and rapidly increasing death tolls.” ‘Shut it down, start over, do it right:’ Health experts sign open letter […]

World

Evidence over hysteria – COVID 7/28

Reopening/ Lockdown Updates Can Restaurants Survive Shutting Down Again? “Closing dining rooms once cost a lot of money, but closing twice could be even worse.” Reopening Schools Is Way Harder Than It Should Be “Of all the American institutions the pandemic has shut down, none face pressure to reopen quite like schools do.Pediatricians exhort schools […]

Politics

Evidence over hysteria – COVID 7/23

Reopening/ Lockdown Updates Back to School? “No Thanks” Say Millions of New Homeschooling Parents “After several months of learning at home with their children, parents may not be so willing to comply with district directives and may prefer other, more individualized education options… pushed into homeschooling this spring by the pandemic.” The risks of […]

Economics

Evidence over hysteria – COVID 7/17

Reopening and Lockdown Updates Betsy DeVos: Schools that don’t reopen shouldn’t get federal funds “Education Secretary Betsy DeVos told “Fox News Sunday” that public schools that don’t reopen in the fall should not get federal funds, and that the money should be redirected to families who can use it to find another option for […]

Politics

Evidence over hysteria – COVID 7/14

Reopening and Lockdown Updates Analysis: Trump makes school reopening a referendum on Trump The CDC says people are taking their school guidance way too literally.  “Nothing would cause me greater sadness than to see any school district or school use our guidance as a reason not to reopen.” – CDC Director Robert Redfield. Georgia […]

World

Evidence over hysteria – COVID 7/8

Latest on the COVID-19 pandemic Everything You Need To Know About Phase 3 Of Reopening NYC You may have questions about what will reopen in Phase 3, well it will be “Dog runs, Tattoo parlors, Spas, including massage parlors, Personal care salons (hair salons reopened in Phase 2, but Phase 3 will see the […]